Sunday, July 19, 2015

KARNATAKA BANK- Results Update

KARNATAKA BANK has published results for the quarter ended 30.06.2015. Snapshot of the results is as under
                                                       (Rs in Crores)
Parameters
Quarter ended 30.06.2014
Quarter ended 30.06.2015
Variation
(+/-)
Operating Profit
188
239
+27%
Provision for NPA
56
116
+107%
Tax Expenses
44
14
-68%
Net Profit from operations
88
109
+24%
Extraordinary Income
33
-
-100%
Reported Net Profit
121
109
10%

Operating Profit and Net Profit from operations increased, however reported Net Profit was 10% lower.

Reason for lower reported Net Profit- Previous year bank was booked extraordinary gain of Rs.33 Crores in June 14 quarter, which was NIL in June 15 quarter. Bank has also made higher provision for NPA. In June 14 quarter bank has booked profit of 44 Crores from Treasury operation, but in June 15 quarter is has booked loss of Rs.5 crores from Treasury operation, because increase in yield on bonds.

Position of Non Performing Assets (NPA)
                                                           (Rs in Crores)
Parameters
Quarter ended 30.06.2014
Quarter ended 30.06.2015
Variation
(+/-)
Total Advances
28837
31351
+8.72%
Gross NPA
999
1034
+3.50%
Provision for NPA
318
395
+24.21%
Net NPA
681
639
-6.17%
Gross NPA in %
3.43
3.26
-17 points
Net NPA in %
2.37
2.05
-32 points

In comparison of increase in Total Advances of 8.72%, Gross NPA increased 3.50% only. Due to higher provision made for NPA, Net NPA decreased 6.17%. In percent terms Net NPA decreased 32 points which is in the line of guidance given by the bank to reduce Net NPA below 1% by March 2016. If same trend will continue bank will able to reduce 3X0.32= 0.96 points Net NPA in next three quarters. Bank is also aggressive to sell NPA to ARCs. Bank has sold 50 Crores NPA to ARC in June 15 quarter and It is expected that bank will sell further 300 Crores NPA to ARCs by March 16. In view of higher Total Advances target of Rs.37500 Crores as on 31.03.2016, I believe that bank will able to bring down Net NPA below 1% by March 2016.

Why KARNATAKA BANK will perform?

a)    It is lowest valued Private Sector Bank.
b)    Its management is looking serious about bring down Net NPA below 1% by March 16.
c)    After decrease in Net NPA, its share prices will get rerated by market.
d)  Due to lower crude prices in next one year, CPI will below 6%, well within RBI expectations. Therefore, there is a scope for further rate cut by RBI.
e) After Rate cut Bond prices will fall and bank will book profit from Treasury operation.

Disclaimer: I am not a research analyst. Please take own decision after read the results, annual reports.

8 comments:

  1. Hi, thanks for your result analysis. Karnataka Bank remains a hold. AP

    ReplyDelete
  2. Dear ,


    What would be target for Vidhi given one year horizon??

    Regards

    Jitendra

    ReplyDelete
  3. Good analysis of KTK

    ReplyDelete
  4. Kindly give your view on Katwa Udyog (Agree Keshav Cement), Guj Themis & Associated Stones.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Dear,

    I want to buy one of the three Katwa, Guj. Themis & Asso. Stones. Which one to buy at current mkt. Pl. reply, thanks in adv.

    ReplyDelete
  6. sir, can you please send me thwe link to download my Bank Results of clerk in a pdf file.

    ReplyDelete
  7. thanks for this wonderful post hope you like Independence Day Speech and 15 August Anchoring Script for this special day.

    ReplyDelete